Thematic Field: Geopolitics and Integration
WorkgroupChina and the map of world power
[+ View productions and content]Post-Graduation Program in the Integration of Latin America
University of São Paulo
Brazil
Institute for Research in Humanities and Social Sciences
National University of La Plata - National Council for Scientific and Technical Research
Argentina
Center for International Policy Research
Cuba
We are currently experiencing a profound shift in the global system. The growing role of China and Asia on the global stage, as well as the resurgence of Eurasia as a major global geopolitical chessboard, reflects a critical change in the map of world power with profound implications for our region. This shift expresses the crisis of a historical cycle of capitalist hegemony led by the United States since World War II, in which the region was a strategic pillar, a central sphere of influence for the hegemon, or its "backyard." The rise of China is the central phenomenon that highlights this change.
In Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), these shifts in the geography of power coincided with the rise of governments critical of neoliberalism and the unipolar world. These processes go hand in hand: the rise of China and other emerging powers, which contributed to a scenario of relative multipolarity and new development prospects, are part of the same reaction against US-Atlantic hegemony, neoliberal financial globalization, and the Washington Consensus as the only possible alternative. History was reborn, and in just 20 years, a new map of power was drawn, offering greater room for maneuver for the peoples of the Global South. Moments of crisis in the world order and hegemonic transitions create historical opportunities for the unfolding of processes of insubordination in the peripheries and semi-peripheries of the system, whose peoples seek to break, modify, or weaken relations of dependency and undertake development projects with greater relative autonomy. Therefore, it is essential to identify the underlying trends of China's rise and its impact on the current world and regional order.
The very increase in Chinese demand for raw materials produced in Latin America and the Caribbean impacted global and regional trade relations and explains the rise in commodity prices that sustained the redistributive policies of progressive, national, and populist governments. Furthermore, the commercial and investment weight of the Asian giant disrupted the traditional economic dependence on the North Atlantic powers.
As an emerging economy, China's rise is based on production, while declining powers tend to maintain their supremacy through military and financial power. China experienced average annual growth of 9% over the last four decades and grew at an average of 6% during the nearly 30-year Maoist period following the 1949 revolution. While the Asian giant developed a hyper-expansion of the real economy in the last decade, accounting for 50% of overall global economic growth, the Global North experienced relative stagnation, which hit Europe and Japan hardest (and which have not recovered from the 2008-2009 crisis), while the United States grew slightly more, but at the cost of increasing the financialization of its economy.
China's GDP, measured by purchasing power parity, exceeds that of the US by $4,3 trillion, making it the world's largest economy in these terms since 2016. Furthermore, since 2013, it has become the world's largest exporter, increasing its share of global exports from 3,16% in 2000 (at current prices) to 12,71% in 2021 (World Bank), and has solidified its position as the main trading partner for more than half the world's countries. Another key aspect is how the domestic market has become the engine of Chinese growth; some data illustrate this: average industrial wages have tripled in the last decade.
In the global arena, Beijing is already vying for top positions in the most complex economic sectors. The transnationalization of its companies, the internationalization of the yuan, and indigenous technology are gaining ground in the new world economy. In geoeconomic and geopolitical terms, the initiative known as the Belt and Road Initiative involves more than 150 countries. Beijing is establishing counter-hegemonic partnerships with countries such as Russia, Iran, and the Global South. It supports the strengthening of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation as a central security body in Eurasia. It promotes the BRICS as a forum of emerging powers that counters the "old" G7 and is developing multilateral financial institutions that overshadow those controlled by the United States. In the defense sector, it is also developing capabilities within its military complex that have challenged US primacy in the Asia-Pacific region, a key arena in the global power struggle.
China's economic development is a central axis for understanding China's strategic relationship and relevance to our region. First, trade between China and Latin America reached $452 billion in 2021 (double the amount in 2017), solidifying its position as South America's main trading partner, a stark contrast to the relative decline of the United States.
Secondly, in terms of investment, Latin America became the second-largest recipient of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from the Asian giant, accounting for 14%, after Asia itself. From 2003 to 2017, China invested over US$110.000 billion, and estimated Chinese FDI increased from an average annual amount of US$1.357 billion between 2001 and 2009 to an average of US$10.817 billion between 2010 and 2016. Beijing plans to increase investment to US$250.000 billion by 2025, and among the investment projects are large-scale strategic infrastructure projects for the region (dams, nuclear power plants, interoceanic canals, transcontinental railways) that would give Beijing significant influence and are considered "threats" by Washington.
Third, regarding financial matters, a key indicator of China's influence in the region is that its state-owned banks have lent more resources to Latin American and Caribbean countries than the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) combined this decade. Furthermore, as part of its strategy to internationalize the yuan and expand its financial influence, China has signed currency swap agreements with Argentina and Brazil and established the first financial center for the internationalization of the yuan in Santiago, Chile.
Another key dimension is geopolitics. In this respect, China, despite not seeking conflict with the United States, has counterbalanced its power. The importance and support that Beijing has given to the relationship with CELAC (Community of Latin American and Caribbean States) and the growing commitment of the region's countries to the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) should be highlighted. The BRI positions China as a key player in the region's global megaproject and already includes 20 Latin American members.
For the reasons stated above, the proposed topic is of critical importance to the region, and therefore we propose the following topics to address it:
1) China's rise in the world system: Inter-state hierarchies, geopolitical changes and global capitalism
2) China, accumulation pattern and innovation system: State capitalism or market socialism
3) China and the emergence of Eurasia
4) China and the Global South
5) China and Latin America and the Caribbean: economic and strategic relations, the challenges for the region, the problem of dependency and primary commodity dependency, and the dispute in the US "backyard".
6) China, geopolitical regions and poles of power. War, conflicts, relative multipolarity and imperialism
7) The Chinese political model and its internal contradictions
8) Long-term, Sino-centric systems and the modern world system: contradictions and perspectives of the 21st century
ECLAC (2018), Exploring new areas of cooperation between Latin America and the Caribbean and China. Second Ministerial Meeting of the Forum of the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) and China. Santiago, Chile, January 2018.
Custer, S., Russell, B., DiLorenzo, M., Cheng, M., Ghose, S., Sims, J., Turner, J., and H.
Desai. (2018). Ties That Bind: Quantifying China's public diplomacy and its “good neighbor” effect. Williamsburg, VA. AidData at William & Mary.
Durán Lima, José and Pellandra, Andrea (2017), “The emergence of China and its impact on the productive and commercial structure in Latin America and the Caribbean”, in International Trade Series No. 31, ECLAC, Santiago de Chile, February 2017.
Dussel Peters, Enrique; Armony, Ariel C; Cui, Shoujun (2018), “Building Development for a New Era. China's Infrastructure Projects in Latin America and the Caribbean”, in Asian Studies Center, Center for International Studies, University of Pittsburgh, and Latin American and Caribbean Academic Network on China, Mexico.
Iglecias, Wagner (2016), “The role of China in Latin American development in recent decades: economic and political implications”, in Sinais Sociais, Rio de Janeiro, v.11 n. 31, p.111-149, May-Aug. 2016.
Martins, Carlos Eduardo (2015), “The Capitalist World System and the New Geopolitical Alignments in the 21st Century: A Prospective Vision”, in Gandasegui, M. Martins, C. and Vommaro V. (coord.) Sovereignty, hegemony and integration of democracies in revolution in Latin America, Quito, pp. 19-50.
Merino, Gabriel Esteban (2019), “Trade War and Latin America”, in International Relations Journal No. 134, UNAM, Mexico, pp, 67-98.
Piccone, Ted (2016), “The Geopolitics of China's Rise in Latin America, in ORDER from CHAOS”, Foreign Policy in a Troubled World, Brookings, 2016.
Regueiro, Lourdes (2019), “Latin America and the Caribbean, a region in dispute: United States versus China”, in the process of editing to be published in Cuadernos de Nuestra América No. 52.
Staiano, María Francesca and Bogado Bordázar, Laura (2019), “The Belt and Road Initiative: Innovation Driving Regional Integration Processes at a Global Level. The Cases of Europe and Latin America”, in Bogado, L, Caubet, M and Staiano, F. (Eds.), China: A New Geopolitical and Global Strategy. The Belt and Road Initiative, La Plata: EDULP.
Wike, Richard; Poushter, Jacob; Silver, Laura and Bishop, Caldwell (2017), "Globally, More Name US Than China as World's Leading Economic Power. But balance shifts in the eyes of some key US trading partners and allies", Pew Research Center.
Zottele, Esteban and Qian, Wei (2018) “The Belt and Road: Opportunity for Latin America and the search for sustainable development”, in: Orienting, East Asian Issues, Society, Culture and Economy.
Before the "century of humiliation" began in China with the Opium Wars, Napoleon Bonaparte, in a prophetic statement of 1816, declared: "China is a sleeping giant. Let it sleep, for when it awakens, the world will be shaken." This invites us to consider China's rise from a long-term perspective and as a symptom of the crisis of the modern capitalist world system, which, through imperialism and colonialism, managed to conquer and subsume all human civilizations.
Until the 18th century, China was the world's leading economic region for almost two millennia. At the beginning of the 19th century, it accounted for between 30 and 35% of global GDP, boasting a strong state, an efficient bureaucracy, significant infrastructure projects, and a widespread and deeply rooted market economy. Therefore, China's decline, which began in the 19th century, was actually a two-century-long standstill, a rather exceptional phenomenon in world history, closely linked to the invasion by Western powers and its incorporation as a periphery into the modern capitalist world system—its transformation into a "hypercolony," in the words of Sun Yat-sen.
China's rise and economic dynamism cannot be reduced to its adherence to neoliberal capitalism and/or its status as an epiphenomenon of globalization and the offshoring of production from the Global North, as much of Western academia explains. China's current position is linked, first and foremost, to the significant levels of autonomy, political and strategic strength, and basic well-being in health and education it achieved as a result of the 1949 revolution. Then came the takeoff with the reforms initiated in 1978, which attracted capital from the Chinese diaspora, absorbed lower levels of Japanese outsourcing, developed significant communal and state-run economic networks, fostered market reforms, and later, absorbed large volumes of Western capital under its own conditions, ultimately transforming it into the world's leading industrial powerhouse. This was accomplished through its own unique project and a singular hybridization of production modes. Further analysis of this topic can make a fundamental contribution to dependency theories and the study of center-periphery dynamics in the world system, the place of the Global South, and the implications of its insubordination.
The characteristics of the contemporary global situation, with its cyclical and secular trends, reveal a bifurcation of power and a scenario of structural conflicts for the coming years. The current historical transition of the world system manifests itself, among other ways, as a structural capitalist crisis and a crisis of the global geopolitical order. They are two sides of the same coin.
On the one hand, there is the financialization of capital, the crisis of the Atlanticist axis's hegemony in the world economy, and the decline of the "maritime powers" that traditionally led modern capitalist civilization, centered primarily in Western Europe and currently under US leadership. On the other hand, there is the reorientation of economic dynamism toward China and East Asia, the rise of regionalism, and the emergence of hinterlands as potential new geopolitical foundations for the world economy and the construction of a multipolar world system. In this sense, the rise of the Asia-Pacific region in general, and of China in particular, constitutes one of the central phenomena of the crisis of US hegemony, as it challenges the existing international division of labor, the global power of transnational (financial) capital and its institutions, and the hierarchies of the interstate system.
The growing role of China and the Asia-Pacific region on the global stage reflects a critical shift in the world power map with implications for Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). This shift expresses the crisis of a historical cycle of capitalist hegemony led by the United States since World War II and, therefore, a historic opportunity for the peoples of Latin America and the Global South in their quest to break free from historical relations of dependency and colonialism and undertake more autonomous development projects. For this reason, it is essential to identify the underlying trends in the rise of China and the Asia-Pacific region and their impact on the current world and regional order.
The rise of China and the Asia-Pacific and Indian Ocean regions, as well as the revitalization of Eurasia, raise two fundamental questions that warrant investigation and give rise to significant theoretical debates: A) Is the end of the primacy of the fundamental forces of the West in the world system a definitive and structural trend? This question is compounded by a deeper one: Are we witnessing a definitive crisis of capitalist modernity as a historical system? B) On the other hand, the rise of China poses another systemic challenge: What would the incorporation of one-fifth of the world's population into the center of the world system entail (something impossible under the current system)? Would this include other giants of the Global South, such as India? C) In this sense, what does the deployment of a continental giant in the global economy and politics under a hybrid development model, or perhaps a new mode of production, mean? This mode of production doesn't fit within the Western capitalist framework because collective land ownership is maintained, the core sectors of the economy are controlled by large state-owned strategic enterprises, and there is a strong presence of collectively owned village and town enterprises that are among the main employers in the economy. Therefore, this transition is not simply a transfer of power from a Western, capitalist state to a stronger, more dynamic one, initiating a new hegemonic cycle of the modern world system. This also raises various research and prospective questions about future scenarios: What development model will prevail in China? Is its rise sustainable, and/or can it be blocked? What does China's rise imply for the Global South and the Global North? What types of world orders and polarities might emerge? Is a New Bandung emerging?
As happens when a hegemonic cycle enters a crisis, a period of global disorder, wars, economic crises, and strategic bifurcations opens up. Faced with this situation, various studies formulate the famous idea of the "Thucydides Trap." In fact, we are already experiencing a trade war, cyberwars, technological wars, lawfare, etc., to which we must add the proliferation of different war scenarios, suggesting a hybrid and fragmented world war. What are the implications of this trend toward the intensification of global tensions between the old dominant power and emerging powers? What does the rise of China on the world map mean? Does it represent an emerging imperialist power and the next space for accumulation in historical capitalism, or does it signify something else? What place does Latin America have in this transition and in relation to the rise of China?
The rise of China, the reconfiguration of the world power map, and its relationship with the region compels us to a great intellectual effort of study, theoretical reflection, and conceptual creation, based on some fundamental categories of our Latin American and Global South tradition of thought: dependency, center-periphery dynamics, historical capitalism and capitalist mode of production, models or patterns of development, hegemony and cycles of hegemony, imperialism, economic cycles, historical-spatial transition, world order and world system, global north and global south, among others.
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(Articulation actions for relevant and rigorous comparative social research)
- To reflect on the economic and political relations between China and Latin America from a historical and current perspective.
- To theoretically consolidate the eight lines of work presented in the introduction
- Strengthen networking among GT participants
- To strengthen coordination and joint work with other CLACSO working groups, especially those whose research focuses on Latin American regional integration, global political economy, and international relations.
- Hold a virtual GT discussion meeting every two months
Form thematic subgroups within the group, according to the eight areas of work presented in the introduction and in line with a research project of the Working Group: 1- Global Geopolitics and Geoeconomics. 2- China's Political, Economic, and Social System. 3- China and Latin America
(Actions for training, visibility and communication of production)
Conduct training activities to promote the theoretical and empirical developments of the GT
Conduct regular public debate activities
Production of short articles for the press
Participation in radio and television broadcasting programs
Production of postgraduate seminars at Clacso
Creation of a GT website on social media.
- Publish 1 book with chapters produced by members of the GT.
- Compile and publish the database produced by the Working Group on the Chinese economy and on economic relations between China and Latin America and the Caribbean.
-To influence the production of individual articles by the participants and collaborators of the GT
Strengthening the GT together with the general public as a space for sovereign critical thinking, studies on China, counter-hegemonic to neoliberalism and US imperialism, and promoter of the Global South project
- Creation of a GT website on social media.
- Incorporate postgraduate students from the GT member centers into the group, as well as teaching and research colleagues who are interested in joining it.
Postgraduate students from the GT member centers are invited to join the group, as well as teaching and research colleagues who are interested in joining it.
(Relationships with science and technology organizations, non-governmental organizations, trade unions, social movements, etc.)
Seeking financial support and academic collaboration with the Celso Furtado Center (Brazil), the Regional Council of Economists (CORECON), and the Social Service of Commerce (SESC).
Dissemination and building of knowledge together with non-governmental and governmental organizations
Building and disseminating knowledge together with social movements and the general public
(Scientific networks, international cooperation organizations, academic institutions)
Organization of seminars and production of articles
(Articulation actions for relevant and rigorous comparative social research)
- Analyze the economic and political relations between China and Latin America
- To consolidate theoretically and empirically the eight lines of research of the GT for the period 2019-2022
Strengthen networking with other academic institutions.
- To deepen the work among the members of the GT
- To strengthen coordination and joint work with other CLACSO Working Groups, especially those whose research focuses on Latin American regional integration, global political economy, and international relations.
Hold a virtual GT discussion meeting every two months
(Actions for training, visibility and communication of production)
To stimulate talks, virtual courses and debates with Latin American and Caribbean social movements
Production of short articles for the press
Participation in radio and television broadcasting programs
Production of postgraduate seminars at Clacso
- Compile and publish the database produced by the Working Group on the Chinese economy and on economic relations between China and Latin America and the Caribbean.
-To influence the production of individual articles by the participants and collaborators of the GT
To strengthen the GT together with the general public as a space for sovereign critical thinking, for studies on China, counter-hegemonic to neoliberalism and US imperialism, and promoter of the Global South project
- Creation of a GT website on social media.
- Incorporate postgraduate students from the GT member centers into the group, as well as teaching and research colleagues who are interested in joining it.
Postgraduate students from the GT member centers are invited to join the group, as well as teaching and research colleagues who are interested in joining it.
- Publish a book about the GT
(Relationships with science and technology organizations, non-governmental organizations, trade unions, social movements, etc.)
Seeking financial support and academic collaboration with the Celso Furtado Center (Brazil), the Regional Council of Economists (CORECON), and the Social Service of Commerce (SESC).
Promote activities in television, radio, and print media outlets that promote critical thinking, such as Telesur, Faixa Livre, Página 12, La Jornada, El País, Le Monde Diplomatique, Esquerda Diario, Carta Capital, Rebelión, and Blog Boitempo, among others.
To propose virtual courses for Latin American and Caribbean social movements
Production of short articles for the press
Participation in radio and television broadcasting programs
Production of postgraduate seminars at Clacso
Creation of a GT website on social media.
Dissemination and building of knowledge together with non-governmental and governmental organizations
Building and disseminating knowledge together with social movements
Building and disseminating knowledge together with the general public
(Scientific networks, international cooperation organizations, academic institutions)
(Articulation actions for relevant and rigorous comparative social research)
- Analyze the economic and political relations between China and Latin America
- To consolidate theoretically and empirically the eight lines of research of the GT for the period 2019-2022
Strengthen networking with other academic institutions.
- To deepen the work among the members of the GT
- To strengthen coordination and joint work with other CLACSO Working Groups, especially those whose research focuses on Latin American regional integration, global political economy, and international relations.
(Actions for training, visibility and communication of production)
To stimulate debates, virtual courses and talks with Latin American and Caribbean social movements
Explore the possibility of a GT YouTube channel
Production of short articles for the press
Participation in radio and television broadcasting programs
Production of postgraduate seminars at Clacso
- Compile and publish the database produced by the Working Group on the Chinese economy and on economic relations between China and Latin America and the Caribbean.
-To influence the production of individual articles by the participants and collaborators of the GT
To strengthen the GT together with the general public as a space for sovereign critical thinking, for studies on China, counter-hegemonic to neoliberalism and US imperialism, and promoter of the Global South project
- To have influence on the public debate on topics of interest to the Working Group
- Incorporate postgraduate students from the GT member centers into the group, as well as teaching and research colleagues who are interested in joining it.
Postgraduate students from the GT member centers are invited to join the group, as well as teaching and research colleagues who are interested in joining it.
(Relationships with science and technology organizations, non-governmental organizations, trade unions, social movements, etc.)
Seeking financial support and academic collaboration with the Celso Furtado Center (Brazil), the Regional Council of Economists (CORECON), and the Social Service of Commerce (SESC).
Suggest public policy recommendations for managing asymmetrical relationships with a development partner like China.
Production of short articles for the press
Participation in radio and television broadcasting programs
Production of postgraduate seminars at Clacso
Creation of a GT website on social media.
Dissemination and building of knowledge together with non-governmental and governmental organizations
Building and disseminating knowledge together with social movements
Building and disseminating knowledge together with the general public
(Scientific networks, international cooperation organizations, academic institutions)
Strengthen collaboration with CASS of China and other academic institutions in that country.
To deepen our work with our centers.
To hold a joint CLACSO-CASS forum within the framework of the CLACSO General Assembly
Total number of researchers admitted: 50
Department of Economics and Administration
National University of Quilmes
Argentina
Faculty of Political and Social Sciences
National Autonomous University of Mexico
Mexico
Postgraduate Program in International Relations
Pontifical Catholic University of Minas Gerais
Brazil
National University of Rio Cuarto
Argentina
Institute for Research in Humanities and Social Sciences
National University of La Plata - National Council for Scientific and Technical Research
Argentina
Central University of Venezuela
Venezuela
Faculty of Political and Social Sciences
National Autonomous University of Mexico
Mexico
Institute for Research in Humanities and Social Sciences
National University of La Plata - National Council for Scientific and Technical Research
Argentina
Benemérita Autonomous University of Puebla
Mexico
Institute for Research in Humanities and Social Sciences
National University of La Plata - National Council for Scientific and Technical Research
Argentina
PUC Minas
Brazil
Institute for Research in Humanities and Social Sciences
National University of La Plata - National Council for Scientific and Technical Research
Argentina
Center for International Policy Research
Cuba
Faculty of Political and Social Sciences
National Autonomous University of Mexico
Mexico
Postgraduate Program in Social Sciences
PPGCCS Knowledge Area: Cities: Culture, Work and Public Policies
Pontifical Catholic University of Minas Gerais
Brazil
Center for International Policy Research
Cuba
National University of La Plata - Institute of International Relations
Argentina
JAINA Study Community
Bolivia
Center for International Policy Research
Cuba
Center for International Economic Research
Havana Casa Particular |University of Havana
Cuba
Universidade Federal do Paraná
Brazil
Ecuadorian Foundation for Development
Ecuador
Center for World Economy Research
Cuba
Center for Sociological, Economic, Political and Anthropological Research
Pontifical Catholic University of Peru
Peru
Department of Social Sciences
Faculty of Humanities
Centroamerican University
Nicaragua
Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Minas Gerais - Post Graduation in International Relations
Brazil
Observatory for forced displacement
University cartagena
Colombia
School of Business Administration (AACSB Accredited)
Faculty of Business Administration
University of Puerto Rico, Río Piedras Campus
Puerto Rico
Gino Germani Research Institute
Faculty of Social Sciences
University of Buenos Aires
Argentina
Center for International Economic Research
Havana Casa Particular |University of Havana
Cuba
Department of Economics and Administration
National University of Quilmes
Argentina
Catholic University of Brasilia
Brazil
Institute of International Studies of the University of Chile
Chile
International Studies Program, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of the Republic
Uruguay
Postgraduate Program in International Political Economy
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro
Brazil
National Service for Plant and Seed Quality and Health (SENAVE)
Paraguay
Center for Studies and Promotion of Development
Peru
Social Sciences Center
University of the State of Rio de Janeiro
Brazil
Post-Graduation Program in the Integration of Latin America
University of São Paulo
Brazil
University of Buenos Aires
Argentina
Departments of Social Sciences and Humanities - UCA
Centroamerican University
El Salvador
UTE UNIVERSITY, QUITO ECUADOR
Ecuador
Postgraduate Program in International Political Economy
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro
Brazil
Institute of Economic Research, UNAM
Mexico
ABC Federal University
Brazil
Institute for Research in Humanities and Social Sciences
National University of La Plata - National Council for Scientific and Technical Research
Argentina
Postgraduate Program in International Political Economy
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro
Brazil
Institute of Culture, Society and State
National University of Tierra del Fuego, Antarctica and the South Atlantic Islands
Argentina
University Program of Studies on Asia, Africa and Oceania
-National Autonomous University of Mexico
Mexico
Center for International Policy Research
Cuba